The likelihood of a U.S. or Israeli military attack on Iran is considerable, even though American intelligence agencies now agree that there is no nuclear weapons program in Iran. The threat of war remains real until comprehensive negotiations between the U.S. and Iran begin and gain momentum.

Any attack on Iran would have catastrophic consequences for Iran and the region and would dwarf the ongoing tragedy in Iraq. It would drastically reduce security on all sides for generations to come. There would be no winners, only devastation.